A Critique of Lottery Critics
(from the speech Take the High Road and Keep the Upper
Hand)
By
Edward J. Stanek, Ph.D.
President of the North American Association of
State and Provincial Lotteries
Delivered to NASPL
At its Twenty-Third Annual Meeting
Boston, Massachusetts
September 29, 1997
©1997 Iowa Lottery
A Critique of Lottery Critics
With the appointment in the U.S. of the new National Gambling Impact Study Commission,
there may be much more attention focused on lotteries than would normally be expected. The
Commission is charged with preparing a report for Congress. There should be considerable
skepticism over its objectivity not because its task is unreasonable, but because of the
prejudice built into the Commission. It is not balanced from a lottery viewpoint and, in
fact, it could be as much askew against lotteries as is possible under the legislation
that created it. Three of the nine members are anti-gaming. Another member opposed the
creation of the California Lottery. Three members have ties to the casino industry,
which competes with the lottery industry. One is a former public official from New
Jersey, where casinos have a much influence, and only one so far appears to be neutral on
lotteries.
Will the casino interests team up to create a sham of studya misdirection of
attention to lotteries as the strawman to accept a whipping while they blind their eyes to
their own problems? There were early untrue statements that seemed to suggest such would
be the case.1 The journalists in this country need to be vigilant lest
they be fooled by loaded dice and a stacked deck.
Unfortunately, in the course of the last year, there have been many examples of print
and television journalism that smacked to the "yellow press." Some
respected publishers and producers regressed to tabloid ethics in doing editorials against
lotteries that they called "news" or "documentaries"
incorporating ignorance and bias to sell their wares through sensationalism and
distortions. As disgusting as the behavior of the paparazzi is, the pictures they
sell are real-world images. The pen and paper paparazzi can paint pictures that
arent representative of the real world and sell them just the same. Anecdotes,
hyperbole, and fiction make good entertainment, but are not sound bases for public policy
making.
The cornerstone of the lottery business is honesty. It is particularly distressing for
those of us in the lottery business who try to practice this virtue to be attacked by
those less virtuous from institutions that profess to be the public conscience. Most
journalists are honest and hardworking. For example, National Public Radio's recent
feature of lottery opponent Robyn Gearey and lottery proponent David Gale on its
"Talk of the Nation" program was balanced. However, there is no licensing or
review board to ferret out prejudice, incompetence, bias and malintent on the part of the
media as there is with virtually every other respected profession. Some of the media seem
to take an attitude best described by Mark Twain: "I like the truth sometimes, but I
dont care enough for it to hanker after it."
Obviously, most journalists do care for the truth, but their perspective may not be
representative of the public as a whole. According to the Prothman-Lichter study done in
1979 and 1980, 95% of leading journalists are white, 60 percent are male, and 50 percent
profess no religion at all. According to Understanding the Press, in the 1972 general
election, 61 percent of the American electorate voted for one presidential candidate, and
81 percent of the media voted for the other. Such a difference could imply that
journalists as a group are leaders among the public or it could imply that they "lead
" the public an act devoid of the objectivity that the public expects and
journalists profess. As a group, journalists have difficulty relating to business and that
lack of understanding leads to slanted reporting. Lotteries are a unique hybrid of
business and government in which even veterans can get confused. The tenets of good
business remain unflinching while the perspectives of good government sway with the party
in power and the public mood.
Lotteries dont take advantage of the poor.
Poor people are
allowed to vote, get married, and sign contracts. Society in the U.S. and Canada does not
usurp rights and privileges based on socioeconomic status. Why then, do those less
prosperous needs to be protected from making a one-dollar decision?
Being born is a lottery. No one had the ability to establish the qualifications for his
or her parents. No one examined the pool of available genes and chromosomes and
selectively chose he or her own physical, emotional, and intellectual characteristics.
Therefore, through no accomplishment of our own, all of us have unique attributes that are
lacking in others. It is true that work is an essential element to create success, but
most of us, no matter how hard we try, will never have the looks of a supermodel, the
voice of an opera singer, be the high scorer in the NBA or derive the general theory of
relativity. Why? The luck of the draw! That same luck governs who has a name like Kennedy
or Rockefeller and is a millionaire at birth. Big jackpot games are equalizers. Those who
were not fortunate in the drawing of genes and inheritance can venture a chance equal to
everyone else to benefit financially. No promises-just a chance. Just like life.
There are those zealots who want to deprive others of a chance to prosper
because they think they know whats best for others. Despite the pretense, they
dont.
Lotteries dont discriminate among their customers. They sell to tall, short, rich
and poor. If there is something inherently wrong with allowing less prosperous people the
choice to buy a ticket, then the protectionists should seek legislation to prohibit
low-income citizens from taking a chance. Why havent they? Because the folly of
their self-righteous protectionism would be exposed.
For a lottery to take "advantage" of the poor would imply that the poor have
a "disadvantage." Obviously they have less money, which means that lotteries can
benefit them more relative to helping those of greater means. The only way that the poor
can be at a disadvantage is if they dont have the same mental capacity to make $1
decisions as those who are wealthier. It follows that those who make such claims are
assuming that the poor have a diminished intellectual capacity. But economic status is not
a measure of intelligence. Saying that the poor are taken advantage of in this context is
an insult to the intelligence of those who play lottery games.
It has been alleged that lower-income people spend a higher percentage of their income
on lottery products. Obviously such is true for any product with a fixed price, whether it
is bread, clothing, shampoo or a movie ticket. Whatever price is chosen for a product,
divide it by a lower income and you get a higher percentage. If this issue were really
socially significant, government could issue gaming stamps like food stamps to low income
customers and give a discount on tickets that would negate the issue
but it would not
negate the critics. Obviously, a person making $10,000 a year will spend a higher
percentage of his or her salary on a $1 ticket than a person making $100,000 per year.
That fact, however, does not support the hypothesis that low-income persons are lottery
customers or that they are targets of marketing campaigns. The logic is faulty and
numerous studies have concluded that middle-income persons are the lotterys
principal customers.2
In certain instances where "daily numbers" games are sold in large
metropolitan areas from St. Louis east, there exists a cultural anomaly where lower-income
blue-collar workers play the game in distinctly higher proportions that their white-collar
counterparts. Data will show that this particular game has a lower-income following. The
game was sold by organized crime for generations. Government lotteries in Washington D.C.,
Boston, Baltimore, New York, and elsewhere took almost all of that business away from
organized crime. Proving that this phenomenon is a cultural rather than an economic bias
is the fact that the same game, sold by lotteries to the same economic demographic west of
St. Louis, has resulted in relative consumer rejection and virtual failure. Cities west of
St. Louis developed into urban areas later and were devoid of the criminal numbers running
tradition. The game is a cultural preference.
If lotteries were to remove this game with such significant demand from eastern
metropolitan areas, organized crime would again fill the void. Since experiments with
prohibition have failed, government has but one choice sell the game and capture
the profits or let crime bosses have the income.
Lotteries do have more retail outlets in lower-income neighborhoods.
Why? Lotteries dont discriminate on income but do try to service their customers.
More $75,000 homes can fit into a square mile than $500,000 estates can fit into the same
space. More one-bedroom apartments can fit into a square mile than $125,000 houses can fit
in the same space. With more homes there are more people. If lotteries dont
discriminate based on income, they must have more outlets where there are more people in
order provide equal service.
How about those studies that have shown more lottery outlets per capita in poorer
neighborhoods in some states? I live in a neighborhood called "South of Grand"
in Des Moines. Its an old established neighborhood where the wealthiest lawyers,
doctors and business people live. Despite the large size of the neighborhood, there are no
lottery outlets there not one. There are no stores in "South of Grand."
Zoning doesnt allow stores. When doctors and lawyers who live South of Grand want to
buy a lottery ticket, they have to go to a less prosperous neighborhood not for
reasons of social consequence, but because they can only shop in a neighborhood with
stores. Yes, it is true that there is more lottery outlets in neighborhoods that have more
stores.
In some cases the stores are located in industrial or commercial areas which have a
very large middle class population of workers by day who buy their tickets while the sun
shines and leave the neighborhood to a different demographic group, the census takers, and
tabloid journalists by night.
Lotteries dont target advertising to the poor.
It would be
both a bad business decision and a bad political decision. It would be bad business,
because attracting customers with less money doesnt add to the bottom line. It would
be bad politics because lotteries are public entities. There was a billboard in one
neighborhood cited over and over last year as alleged proof of targeting the
underprivileged.3 That particular billboard was one in a campaign
involving hundreds of billboards in every class of neighborhood. There was no targeting.
Even so, it was one billboard over ten years ago and another billboard example in any
state or province out of thousands of possibilities has been cited as corroboration.
Why do lotteries advertise? Because players have a right to know the rules, what the
prizes are, where to buy tickets, and other information? State lotteries are public, not
secret enterprises. The advertising money does not come from taxpayers-it comes from
lottery players. So it is the players, the customers, the people who earned their money
and the right to spend it, that should have the loudest voice in determining advertising
policy. The next loudest voice should be given to retailers- they provide a service to the
state for a low commission, and all the products that they sell deserve support from the
companies that provide the products. Why should lotteries shortchange retailers with
inadequate advertising support? Yet some policy makers keep trying to arrange it. If the
public were asked which ads are more honest and more essential, most lottery ads or most
political campaign ads-what do you think would be the answer.
Lottery advertising should be regulated by the Federal Trade Commission.
I received 26 direct mail pieces from private sweepstakes companies in the course of a few
weeks. Many of them made outrageous proclamations that assured me that I was the winner of
millions of dollars when I wasnt. Some said that all I needed to do was fill in the
forms and follow instructions to claim the prize. The instructions are cumbersome and lead
the respondent to decide on making a purchase several times along the way to completion.
In one multimillion-dollar giveaway in which I was a definite winner, I claimed the
unspecified prize and received a packet of seeds several weeks later.
These mailings come in envelopes that look like they contain legal documents or express
delivery to feign importance but they are usually sent bulk rate. No North American
lottery would tolerate the misleading marketing used by these companies. Yet all of the
companies sending these notices are regulated by the Federal Trade Commission. So much for
the FTCs ability to keep advertising forthright. Its a good thing that
government lotteries hold themselves to a higher advertising standard than is required of
the private sweepstakes companies.
Lotteries dont advertise the odds of winning all prizes in all ads.
Its hard to get every message into a 30-second TV spot. But all lotteries make
all of those odds available in print just like food companies list their ingredients.
Except for the famous "two all-beef patties, special sauce, lettuce, cheese, pickles,
onions on a sesame seed bun" ad, I dont know of any food company that uses TV
to list every ingredient.
Do lotteries foster the notion of something for nothing?
Inheritance, interest on idle cash, capital gain they are all financial gain for no
work. The first due to luck and the other two the result of risk-taking usury, which until
the 20th century meant charging any amount of interest on a loan. In the Bible,
usury is a sin. "
thou hast taken usury and increase and thou hast greedily
gained of thy neighbors by extortion, and forgotten me, saith the Lord God." Eze
22:12. "If thou lend money to any of my people that is poor by thee, thou shalt not
be to his as a usurer, neither shall thou lay upon him usury." Exd 22:25. And there
is more about this subject in the Good Book.4 Shakespeare said,
"Neither a Borrower nor a Lender be." Why? Because charging interest is the
wealthy who have money-taking advantage of the poor who dont. How many bankers do
you see lined up at confessionals after work every day? Banks in the U.S. made over $59
billion last year by charging interest loans of other peoples idle money. Lotteries
made $11.8 billion. Yet the principles of banking are seldom the target of tabloid
journalism.
Should we spend money to take a chance?
Think carefully about insurance
companies. They sell chances. State lotteries would prefer that their
customers think something good might happen to them if they buy lottery
products. Insurance companies count on customers thinking something bad
might happen to them so that they feel compelled to buy insurance products.
Lotteries use optimism to make a sale. Insurance companies use fear to make
a sale. Both count on statistics and take calculated risks to make profit.
Last year in the U.S. insurance companies made $39.9 billion for themselves.
Lotteries made $11.8 billion for the public good.
Banks and insurance companies play valuable roles in todays society. Despite
their dependence on risk, usury, and fear, they should be tolerated and so should
lotteries. Lotteries dont depend on usury and fear. Besides, with lotteries the risk
is much lower and players dont have to be rich to participate.
History has documented relatively few people who have risked so much on lotteries that
they lost house and home. History has documented relatively many people who have risked so
much on the stock market, commodities, and farming that they did lose house and home.
There is only one medicine to prevent these afflictions. Its called moderation.
Obviously the risk on lottery tickets is lower than the risk on most other gambles, even
though the potential reward with the lottery could be higher. Still, moderation in all
things "play with your head not over your head." Dont bet the farm
and dont buy lottery tickets on credit, even though credit is commonly used when
gambling on stocks and pork bellies (margin).
Lotteries have a positive impact on the economy.
Some economists have
asserted that the money wagered on lotteries is taken out of the economy and isnt
used for goods and services that support employment or meaningful activity. Their analysis
is shallow. Money spent on lottery tickets gets parceled several ways:
- Commissions to retailers
- Fees to companies for services
- Advertising
- Satellite uplinks, television studios, rents, vehicle fleets, accounting firms, data
processing, drawing machined, ticket printers. Lottery revenues are channeled into the
economy the same as the revenues of an average business.
- There are profits that go to the government. Those profits take the place of higher
taxes and are used to deliver goods and services like other money circulating through the
economy.
- Whats left? Only prize money. It does get redistributed to those who win from
those who dont. Those who dont win cant buy chocolate bars, gum, or rent
movies but the winners can buy toasters, scholarships, new cars, and houses, or start
their own businesses. So the real economic drawback must be the really big winner who
cant spend money fast enough and must stuff it into a mattress or keep it in the
basement, where it does no one any good. I do know of those big winners who have spent
money on lawyers and accountants. I know that some idle winnings go into the bank or into
a brokerage account - economists must say thats okay. Where are the overstuffed
mattresses?
Lotteries are not an expenditure of money lacking a useful purpose. Lotteries are entertainment – a little bit of
fun for a small prize or a fantasy about a big prize. Each ticket costs
about a dollar. Have the same critics thought about expenditures on
spectator sports? Sports in general are fabulous creations. Those who
participate in them learn teamwork, self-discipline, and other social
skills. They get stronger, faster, or at least minimally keep their bodies
in shape. But as a spectator, not one of these benefits accrues to the
ticket buyer. Fun – yes. Entertainment – yes. Even some hope. But real value
– no.
What do those sports tickets cost? It depends on whether the event is collegiate or
professional -$15 to $75 or maybe even $2,200 if its the Super Bowl. How about the
two-minute prize fight that took a small bite out of the boxers ear and a big bite
out of spectators wallets! It should be difficult to rationalize taking $75 from the
poor and giving it to the rich (pro athletes and owners) especially when taxpayers are
asked to use tax dollars to build the stadiums where the rich get richer. (Tax dollars are
not used to build lotteries.) With the lottery, for one buck if a player wishes, he or she
can fantasize for a day or two, as opposed to being entertained for an hour or two by a
sporting event. Lottery tickets on average return over 50% of the price to the players.
Not so with pro sports when the moneys spent theres no hope of ever
getting any of it back.
How about movies or television? Admittedly there are some educational productions that
leave the public a little wiser. But do most movie theaters, cassette rentals, or TV shows
really enrich human lives, make people smarter or stronger? How about Hollywoods
reliance on a preponderance of sex and violence? State lotteries dont rely on sex
and violence to make a sale. Lottery tickets contain no tars or nicotine, no caffeine,
sodium, calories, cholesterol, saturated fats, carcinogens, preservatives, or alcohol.
They dont impair driving, cause cancer, or clog arteries. As an entertainment
mechanism with no poisons, they should be more socially acceptable that television,
spectator sports, or a quarter-pounder with cheese.
Lottery tickets can be addictive.
The degree of addiction is
different for various games. Video lottery problems, although confined to only a few
states, are the most pronounced. The problems must be acknowledged. The lottery industry
must support treatment and keeping the problems in perspective. Every human being
that frequents heroin will become an addict. Between 2% and 4% of the general population
has a propensity to become compulsive gamblers. Some new research suggests that compulsive
behavior is the result of a chemical or biological problem that manifests itself by
excessive gambling, drinking, drug use, sex, fanatical religion, or something else,
implying that gambling itself is not the problem. More conventional thinking suggests that
if lottery tickets are the only available gambling product, 20% to 40% of the 4% with a
propensity for problem gambling could become lottery addicts. But cards, sports betting
(legal or illegal) and commodity markets are available everywhere. In a state like Iowa,
where other forms of gaming are available, there are good statistics on the contributions
of the lottery to problem gambling. Last year nearly 3,700 urgent calls were placed to the
Iowa Department of Public Health on the Gambling Treatment Helping. Its an 800-toll
free number. It is printed on every Iowa lottery ticket, lottery terminal, lottery vending
machine, play station and brochure. It does not appear on every slot machine or blackjack
table although it can be found on a poster somewhere in a 50,000 square foot
casino. Last year 6% of all the calls on these lines were from people who had played
lottery games. That means that 94 % of the callers did not have a problem with lottery
games. Also remember that the 6% who did account for 0.12% of the adult population. There
is a credo that dictates even one problem is too many. But is it fair to restrict the
activities of 99.7% of the adult population to shield the other 0.3%? Since the leading
cause of death other than by disease is vehicle accidents, should cars, trucks, and buses
be outlawed? Lottery tickets don't cause death! Restrictions may need to be enacted to
protect people from other people. Assistance should be provided to people who may
otherwise hurt themselves but there should be moderation in protectionism lest the
living be buried in a coffin of fear and overreaction.
Lotteries must be proponents for problem gambling treatment and for
reform of the methods used to diagnose it.
The South Oaks Gambling Screen,
the best detection tool so far developed, has been shown to diagnose more false positives
than true positives. In New Zealand, it classified non-pathological gamblers. It has
classified 64.6% of sports card collectors as probable pathological gamblers. Using
current methods of data tabulation is eternal. Rates can only increase never
decrease for a given population not because of measured problems, but "by
definition." Using a screwdriver because it is the only tool available to pound a
nail does not justify its use. Relying on aspirin because it is the only medicine
available as a cure for cancer is false pretense. The old diagnostics provide consistency
only for its own sake and have become the hobgoblins of small and large minds alike. It is
time to develop new tools that work, rather than waste time using old tools that
dont work.
Compulsive gamblers and white-collar crime.
In January of 1997
The Economist ventured that "American Insurance Institute estimates that 40% of white
collar crime has its roots in gambling." Congressman, professors, authors and the
"Harvard Mental Health Letter" have all used the conclusion from the American
Insurance Institute. However, there is no American Insurance Institute or any study
documenting the above conclusion. Its a hoax. After exhaustively using all of the
directories, contacts, and computer tools available, the Institute cannot be found and
those who have quoted its conclusions cannot find it or produce the study either. Joseph
M. Kelly has published a detailed treatise in the Gambling Law Review (Volume 1, Number 2,
1997) documenting the unwitting use of this farce by prestigious persons and institutions.
Lotteries are not self-regulating.
Earlier this year, I read
that other forms of gaming shouldnt pose much work for the national commission
because they are highly regulated, but state lotteries are not subject to such scrutiny.
All Lottery board meetings are public meetings. Lottery files are public records. What
companies must produce for the press any record requested only lotteries and the
U.S. Postal Service that I know of. Each legislative session, with few exceptions, each
state lottery is subjected to legislative scrutiny both for budgets and for operations.
Detractors have the power of examine the minutest lottery details, voicing opinions, and
voting on the lotterys business operations. Which other gaming enterprises present
their operations to a group of detractors for approval and open their files for the press?
Which other businesses give a vote on their operations to those opposed to their
existence? The regulation in Nevada and Atlantic City doesnt even come close.
During this past year, a question has been posed in many different forums. "For
generations we were taught that gambling was evil. Now the government is promoting it.
If it was wrong before, isnt it wrong now and how can the government be so
immoral?" Morality cant be legislated but governments try to do it all of
the time.
Our ideas on right and wrong come from religious roots and social norms, which vary
from culture to culture and time to time. Religion is not a topic in these treaties.
However, rightness and wrongness as a matter of law or social acceptability offer some
insights. Something should not be labeled right or wrong just because it is so labeled at
another place or time. In Afghanistan today, sanctions are applied to men who trim their
beards and women who dont cover their faces or who seek education or employment. In
Americas past, women were burned alive if suspected of witchcraft. Dancing was
forbidden. Galileo was excommunicated from the Church because he would not accept that the
sun revolves around the earth, which was believed to be the center of the universe. It was
illegal to own gold bullion in the U.S. from 1934 until 1971. It was illegal for women to
vote in the U.S. until 1920. Should these things be wrong here and now just because they
were there and then?
The making of laws and ordinances governing the publics behavior has a history of
not being on target. Robert Wayne Pelton has written about them in his book Loony Laws
That You Never Knew You Were Breaking. For instance, in Alaska you can hunt grizzly bears
but its against the law to "disturb a grizzly bear in order to take its
picture." In Chicago there is a law which reads: "No person who is diseased,
maimed, mutilated or any other way deformed so as to be an unsightly or disgusting object,
shall expose himself in public view under a penalty of not less than one dollar nor more
that $50 for each offense." In Tulsa, Oklahoma, dogs are prohibited form going on
private property without first getting the owners consent. In 1930 the Virginia
Legislature adopted a law entitled, "To Prohibit Corrupt Practice of Bribery by Any
Person Other than Candidates." In Pocatello, Idaho, a 1912 piece of legislation says,
"The carrying of concealed weapons is forbidden, unless same are exhibited to public
view." Flowery Branch, Georgia has a law: "Be it ordained, and it is hereby
ordained, by the Mayor and Council of the Town
that on and after this date it shall
be unlawful for any person or persons to holler snake within the city limits
"
And last but not least, the city of Schulter, Oklahoma, has made it against the law for a
woman to participate in any form of gambling or game of chance while in the nude, while
dressed in revealing or sheer clothing, or while simply wrapped in a towel. Nothing is
mentioned about men.
One of the cornerstones of American life is the freedom to practice ones own
beliefs, free from the restraints of law, as long as the practice does not harm someone
else. Yet a segment of society clearly wishes to impose its views and practices on
everyone else. There are significant dangers in allowing such to prevail. It happened
during the Spanish Inquisition and the totalitarian states of Eastern Europe during and
after the Second World War. Depending on the times, the tack is different. "You will
do it and you will enjoy it" or "You will not do it and you will not enjoy
it." In other words, "if its not good for me, its not good for
you." Protectionism may take the guise of virtue but it is fundamentally dangerous.
History repeats itself, and someday those of the opposite point of view will be in charge
and their rules will prevail - perhaps without mercy. No one is forced to buy a lottery
ticket yet!
Taxes, however, are a different matter. Lotteries are not taxes. Taxes are
consideration that must be paid to government under the threat of punishment. Morality and
the "American Way" are issues here. Which is more American and conscionable
the total freedom "to buy or not to buy" or the extraction of hard earned
wages to be used perhaps for purposes against the taxpayers wishes under penalty of
imprisonment? Lotteries are more democratic than taxation.
Furthermore, wars have been fought and lives have been lost over taxation while
lotteries have never been the cause of such peril. Former lottery directors George
Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin and John Hancock have agreed with me.
Remember "No taxation without representation?" It was proceeds from the
United States Lottery in 1777 that brought provisions for Washingtons troops that
made it possible for U.S. coins and bills to bear images or presidents instead of queens
and kings.
Its true that lotteries are an inefficient way to raise government revenues when
compared to the efficiency of taxation. But the comparison is ludicrous. It may be more
efficient to stuff ones seat cushions with porcupine quills than with goose down.
However, the former alternative is pricklier in the end like taxes.
Lotteries are also not charities and to pretend that they are for purposes of
efficiency comparisons is also the product of a confused mentality. One cant pull
and oxcart with a hamster. The charity may be warm and fuzzy, but who in their right mind
would expect that the public would give $13.5 trillion a year to their government
voluntarily? Because government could never function under such a scheme, we have taxes
and lotteries. Lotteries are products that must return value to the customer. If not,
theres no sale and no penalty. There is a penalty for not paying taxes
prison. Which is more in keeping with the Land of the free, lotteries or taxes?
Odds of winning.
Lottery critics often say the odds of winning
are "slim and none" or about the same as getting killed by lighting. On the Arts
& Entertainment cable channel last year a coin was thrown of a skyscraper and just
missed a paper cup far below on the street. The mathematician doing the demonstration
said, "Like state lotteries, close doesnt count." Close does count.
The highest jackpot odds game in the country is Powerball. But being less than precise in
picking numbers can result in $100,000, $5,000, $100, $5, $2 or maybe just a buck. Being
"not even close" counts in most lottery jackpot games and odds of 1 in 5 are
common in scratch games. Last year in North America, lotteries awarded $52 million in
prize everyday thats $36,000 every minute, 24 hours a day. Maybe the
"performances" of critics would be more credible if they first learned to play
the games that theyre critiquing. A lot of smart people vote to have lottery games
with every dollar that they spend on tickets. Last year over 40 billion of those
one-dollar votes were cast in North America in favor of lotteries. By the way in
1995, lighting in the U.S. and Canada killed 91 people and 1,136 people won $1,000,000 or
more playing lotteries in the U.S. and Canada. (4,520 won $100,000 or more playing lotto.)
I will make a couple on concessions, though. The odds of getting killed by lighting are
better than the odds of winning Powerball in Utah (where there is no lottery). The
odds of getting killed by lighting are better than the odds of winning a Powerball jackpot
but only on Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, Friday and Sunday. (Drawings are only on
Wednesday and Saturday.) Remember, when calculating these odds, that anyone can be struck
by lighting any time, any day. You can only win Powerball if you buy a ticket and than
only on drawing days. One should ask, "What are the odds of getting killed by
lighting on a Wednesday or Saturday in a state that sells Powerball?
Using data from the National Safety Council, I have calculated that the odds of an
average American being killed by lighting on any particular day are one in 1,178,989,420.
Therefor you are 21.44 times more likely to win Powereball on Wednesday or Saturday with
only one ticket than you are to be killed by lighting. You are 224 times more likely to
win a Lotto 6/42 than to be killed by lighting. Heres something to think about. Of
the people struck by lighting in 1995, some were golfing, some were picnicking, fishing,
boating, or hiking not one was playing lotto at the time.
The question of whether it is appropriate for government to offer lotteries arises
regularly. First of all the public has decided. Referenda to the people on lotteries have
failed in only two states since state lotteries reappeared in 1963. The question then
becomes should we do what the people want or protect them from what they want? In Europe,
lotteries have been operation successfully for hundreds of years. They seem to have
withstood the tests of time. In fact, many of those lotteries are older than the U.S. or
Canadian governments. Time will tell which are the more durable institutions. Which is
more "of the people, by the people, and for the people" their lotteries
or their governments?
If lotteries are indeed rational, relevant and reasonable revenue raisers, should
government or the private sector run them? There is no perfect solution and "the
grass will always be greener on the other side." Theoretically, government does not
have to add to the cost by providing dividends to private investors. But business is not
encumbered by government bureaucracy. The right solution depends on the situation.
In general, government shouldnt operate what the private sector can do. Although
the private sector is more flexible to do the job, there is some history in the U.S. to
take into account. Namely, the private lottery operations of the 19th century.
Private lotteries were prevalent in the nineteenth century until corruption
couldnt be controlled and congress made all interstate lottery activities illegal.
Most state constitutions enacted after 1890 followed suit. State lotteries werent
authorized again until 1963. The evolution of technology has made it easier to catch some
cheaters, but it has also made more opportunities to cheat. Congress provided state
lotteries exemptions from taxes and restrictions not afforded to private gaming entitles.
How much can legally be in private hands supervised by a state is a question not yet
tested in the courts. The important issue of security is also at stake. Unlike casinos
with all of their operations within the confines of a building, lotteries by their nature
require thousands of vendors at diverse retail locations and deal with millions of players
at these diverse locations. Only a government agency can have the regulatory powers to
assert jurisdiction over so many independent entities. Simple employer/employee
relationships are not applicable. Policing vendors through private licensing agreements,
as is dome for trademarks and patents on a civil basis, is not adequate. Only government
authorities have the criminal enforcement ability to deal with such widespread opportunity
for fraud. Therefore, significant government involvement to preserve lottery integrity
will always be essential. However, the opportunities for private entitles to contribute
technology toward the secure and efficient operation of those state entitles will continue
to increase.
Benefits.
North America lotteries provide funding for education,
economic development, natural resource protection, elder care programs, and more. They
have contributed over $100 billion in annual wagering, lotteries directly or indirectly
provide over 250,000 jobs. Over 240,000 retailers sell lottery products in North America.
Last year they were paid over $3 billion in commissions.
Conclusion.
Lotteries raise money for good causes. They dont
target the poor. They have no more influence on the work ethic than inheritance, interest
payments, and capital gains. Their fund raising is fairer and more American that taxation.
Their games contribute to the economy as much as any other business activity does. Their
odds are reasonable for a $1 risk. They have maintained a reputation of honesty and have
earned the public trust and confidence. A clear majority of citizens in lottery states
have for decades given their support. Despite the media myths and the crusades of social
vigilantes, the honest and secure lotteries of the U.S. and Canada have prospered. Common
sense among common men and women has spoken louder than the prejudice, the politics, and
the uninformed emotionalism of egalitarian cynics.
1
"If you look at all areas of gaming and who preys on people the most,
I'd say the ubiquitous lottery has more opportunity to prey on people than casinos do.
Lotteries advertise, we [casinos] don't. They have billboards that say,
'here's your ticket to easy street.' If you look at the odds, they're pretty stacked
against an individual."
J. Terrence Lanni, CEO of MGM Grand member
of the National Gambling Impact Study Commission
2
e.g. Iowa Daily Millions Game Player Demographics (error rate of +/-
7.5% at 95% confidence level)
| |
|
Players |
Iowa Population |
|
Sex |
Male |
60% |
49% |
| |
Female |
40% |
51% |
|
Age |
21-34 |
6% |
32% |
| |
35-44 |
18% |
20% |
| |
45-54 |
27% |
14% |
| |
55-64 |
30% |
13% |
| |
65 -over |
18% |
22% |
|
Income |
under$15K |
5% |
27% |
| |
$15K-24K |
15% |
21% |
| |
$25K-34K |
28% |
18% |
| |
$35K-$49K |
26% |
18% |
| |
over $50K |
26% |
16% |
3 Cited by Senator Paul Simon, Robyn Gearey, J. Terrence
Lanni
4 Exd. 22:15, Deu. 23:19, Neh. 5:10, Isa. 24:2, Eze. 18:13, Lev. 25:36, Deu.
23:20, Psa. 15:5, Jer. 15:10, Eze. 18:17, Lev. 25:37, Neh. 5:7, Pro. 28:8, Eze. 18:8, Exe.
22:12 |